Search Probability of Detection

Cumulative probability of detection across search passes, probability of success (POS = POA x cumulative POD), and residual containment probability for SAR planning.

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Formula and source

cumulative_POD = 1 - product(1 - POD_i); POS = POA * cumulative_POD; residual = POA * (1 - cumulative_POD).

Standard SAR search theory (Koopman detection theory) as used in the U.S. National SAR Supplement and NASAR / FEMA search-planning doctrine, by name.

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